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SEER Cancer Statistics Review 1973-1991

NCI

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The National Cancer Institute's (NCI) annual update of cancer statistics, the "SEER Cancer Statistics Review 1973-1991," reports and summarizes the key measures of cancer's impact on the U.S. population for the years 1973 through 1991. NCI monitors these cancer statistics to assess progress and to identify population subgroups and geographic areas where cancer control efforts need to be concentrated.

The 1994 edition is the latest in a series that has been produced annually by the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program in NCI's Division of Cancer Prevention and Control. Data included in the book were compiled by the SEER Program, which has monitored occurrence of cancer and survival of patients since 1973.

The tables, charts, and graphs of the "SEER Cancer Statistics Review 1973- 1991" present cancer incidence rates (the number of cases per 100,000 persons), cancer mortality rates (the number of deaths per 100,000 persons), and five-year relative survival rates (the estimated percentage of patients surviving five years after diagnosis of cancer).

Data are given for all major cancer sites by age, sex, and race (all races, whites, and blacks). Cancer incidence and survival data are collected by the SEER Program, while mortality data come from the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS). The report also provides data on trends in cancer incidence and mortality rates, American Cancer Society estimates of new cancer cases and cancer deaths in 1994, and measures of the years of life lost prematurely by those dying of cancer.

The book also contains estimates, by race, sex, and cancer site, of the probabilities of developing or dying of cancer. These include probabilities, given current age, of developing cancer before a specific later age, as well as lifetime probabilities.

Single copies of the "SEER Cancer Statistics Review 1973-1991" may be obtained by writing the Office of Cancer Communications, National Cancer Institute, 31 Center DR MSC 2580, Building 31, Room 10A19, Bethesda, Md. 20892-2580, or calling 1-800-4-CANCER (1-800-422-6237).


Questions and Answers

  1. What is the "SEER Cancer Statistics Review, 1973-1991?"
  2. What is the purpose of the CSR?
  3. How can the CSR be used?
  4. How does the 1994 CSR differ from the previous volume?

Background and Resources

  1. Who prepared the CSR
  2. What is the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program?
  3. What is a cancer registry?
  4. Which cancer registries report to SEER?
  5. What other resources are used to prepare the CSR?
  6. How is the 1994 CSR organized?

Interpretation of the Data in the CSR

  1. What factors should be considered when interpreting the CSR data?
  2. What are the definitions of statistical terms used in the CSR?

Findings in the CSR

  1. What are the highlights of the 1994 CSR?
  2. Which cancer sites show the highest incidence rates for the period 1987-1991?
  3. Which cancer sites show the greatest increases and decreases in incidence rates over the interval 1973-1991?
  4. Which cancer sites show the highest mortality rates for the period 1987-1991?
  5. Which cancer sites show the greatest increases and decreases in mortality rates over the interval 1973-1991?
  6. What are the probabilities for developing the most common cancers in men and women?
  7. What are the probabilities of dying of the most common causes of cancer death in men and women?
  8. Which states had the highest and lowest cancer mortality rates for the period 1987-1991?
  9. Which cancer sites show the highest and lowest five-year relative survival rates for patients diagnosed during 1983-1990?
  10. Is there a difference in cancer incidence, mortality, and survival between sexes?
  11. Is there a difference in cancer incidence, mortality, and survival between blacks and whites?
  12. Does the CSR tell us anything about geographic patterns of cancer?

 

Questions and Answers

"SEER Cancer Statistics Review 1973-1991"

Description of the "SEER Cancer Statistics Review 1973-1991" (CSR)

1. What is the "SEER Cancer Statistics Review 1973-1991?"

The CSR is a book published annually by the National Cancer Institute (NCI) that provides data on cancer incidence, mortality, and patient survival for more than 20 different cancers and for all cancers combined. The 1994 CSR covers the years 1973 through 1991. Cancer incidence and survival data from nine geographic areas representing about 10 percent of the U.S. population were used in the book, along with mortality data from the entire United States. Data are reported by age, sex, and race (all races, whites, and blacks).

2. What is the purpose of the CSR?

The CSR reports and summarizes the key measures of cancer's impact on the U.S. population. The primary statistics reported are the rate at which new cases occur (incidence), the rate of death from cancer (mortality), and the likelihood that a patient will live a specific length of time after diagnosis (survival).

3. How can the CSR be used?

The CSR provides a cancer data resource for a variety of scientific, educational, business, and governmental activities. It is used by national, state, and local health agencies to help identify cancer problems. Data from the CSR are used to plan, implement, and evaluate cancer control efforts, and to design research studies.

Researchers use the CSR as the primary assessment of cancer status in the United States. Besides serving as a valuable reference, the CSR data provide a statistical baseline for comparison with investigational findings.

The CSR data may be linked with information from other agencies to address cancer-related issues. For example, CSR incidence data linked to county statistics on socioeconomic status have shown that for some cancers, socioeconomic status is more important than race in explaining differences in incidence. Also, CSR data linked to Medicare records at the Health Care Financing Administration are being used to help assess the costs of cancer tests and treatment by site and stage.

4. How does the 1994 CSR differ from the previous volume?

The 1994 CSR differs from the 1993 volume by the addition o f a single year's statistics to the SEER database. New inclusions are incidence and mortality data for 1991, and survival data for 1990. These are the most recent years for which complete data are available.

Background and Resources

5. Who prepared the CSR?

The CSR was prepared by NCI statisticians in the Surveillance Program, Division of Cancer Prevention and Control. NCI is part of the National Institutes of Health, U.S. Department of Health and Human Services.

6. What is the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program?

The SEER Program, started in 1973, is NCI's main tool for tracking, assembling, and reporting data on cancer incidence, mortality, and survival in the United States. Data come primarily from population-based cancer registries under contract to NCI in nine geographic areas across the country. Data are collected by age, sex, and race (all races, whites, and blacks). National trends in cancer incidence and patient survival are derived from this database. Mortality statistics come from the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS).

The SEER Program was recently expanded in order to increase coverage of minority populations, especially Hispanics. The two areas added are in California: Los Angeles County and the four counties in the San Jose-Monterey area south of San Francisco. Data from the two new areas were not available for the 1994 CSR, but will be included in later editions.

Data from the report, and from SEER special studies, are used by NCI and others to design specific research studies to investigate causal factors. Examples of such research include epidemiologic studies designed to test dietary or hormonal hypotheses suggested by observed racial or sex differences. SEER data are also used by NCI and others to guide program decisions in cancer prevention and control. NCI has used these data to create special programs aimed at breast, prostate, and lung cancers, and to target cancer prevention and control programs at population groups with high incidence or mortality rates.

7. What is a cancer registry?

A cancer registry (sometimes known as a tumor registry) collects and stores data on cancers diagnosed either in a specific hospital or medical facility (hospital-based registry) or in a defined geographic area (population based registry). A population-based registry is generally composed of a number of hospital-based registries. Registries participating in the SEER Program arepopulation-based.

8. Which SEER cancer registries contribute data to the CSR?

Cancer incidence data presented in the 1994 CSR come from nine population- based cancer registries in four metropolitan areas and five states across the United States. The registries cover Atlanta, Georgia (five counties); Detroit, Michigan (three counties); San Francisco-Oakland, California (five counties); Seattle-Puget Sound, Washington (13 counties); and all counties in Connecticut, Iowa, Hawaii, New Mexico, and Utah.

9. What other resources are used to prepare the CSR?

Cancer mortality data on all deaths occurring in the United States as a whole, each state, and each SEER geographic area are obtained from the NCHS. The 1994 projections of the number of new cancer cases and cancer deaths in the United States are obtained from the American Cancer Society, which uses SEER and NCHS data to make the projections. Population data are obtained from the U.S. Census Bureau.

10. How is the 1994 CSR organized?

The CSR is divided into 27 sections and an appendix.

Section I is an overview of the report. It describes the data sources used, provides supplementary material for improved understanding of the data, and lists references cited. This section presents cancer incidence and mortality from 1987-1991, and survival rates for the period 1983-1990. It describes trends in incidence and mortality rates between 1973 and 1991, and summarizes long-term trends since 1950. It also includes data on cigarette smoking prevalence and median ages of cancer patients at diagnosis and death.

Section II includes incidence, mortality, and survival rates on all cancers combined. Sections III through XXVII contain data on specific cancers and cancer in children. The appendix provides tables showing the numbers of cancer cases in the SEER geographic areas, and numbers of cancer deaths in the United States (by site, race, and sex) during 1987-1991. It also includes population estimates, for U.S. states and SEER areas, that were used in calculating cancer rates.

Interpretation of the Data in the CSR

11. What factors should be considered when interpreting the CSR data?

The statistics outlined in the CSR must be considered in light of changes in factors that can affect cancer incidence or patient survival. Examples include risk factors such as smoking, screening procedures such as mammography, diagnostic procedures for which there have been technological advances, and the introduction of new treatment regimens.

There may be a time lag between the introduction of new treatments or technologies and their impact on cancer statistics.

12. What are the definitions of statistical terms used in the m CSR?

Findings in the CSR

13. What are the highlights of the 1994 CSR?

14. Which cancers show the highest incidence rates (based on all ages combined) for the period 1987-1991?

(Rates are per 100,000 and are age-adjusted to the 1970 U.S. population. Unless otherwise specified, rates are given for all races, both sexes.)

                                  Age <65         Age 65+         All Ages

     All Sites                      198.1           2,145.4            390.4

     SITE
     Prostate (men)                  26.7            1002.2            123.0
     Breast (women)                  72.8             444.7            109.5
     Lung and Bronchus               28.4             329.9             58.2
     Colon and Rectum                18.1             323.1             48.2

15. Which cancers show the greatest increases and decreases in incidence rates (based on all ages combined) over the interval 1973-1991?

                                           EAPC*            EAPC* / %Change**

                                   Age <65        Age 65+           All Ages

     All Sites                       +0.7          +1.6           1.2 / +22.4

     INCREASES BY SITE
     Prostate (men)                  +4.8          +3.8          +3.9 / +126.3
     Melanoma                        +3.5          +5.2          +3.9 / +94.0
     Non-Hodgkin's Lymphoma          +3.5          +3.2 /        +3.3 / +72.8
     Testis (men)                    +2.4          -1.7          +2.2 / +42.7
     Kidney and Renal Pelvis         +1.8          +2.4          +2.1 / +35.4
     Lung and Bronchus               +0.8          +2.6          +1.7 / +34.4
     Brain and Nervous System        +0.7          +2.5          +1.2 / +24.6
     Breast (women)                  +1.2          +2.6          +1.7 / +23.9

DECREASES BY SITE Cervix Uteri (women) -2.3 -3.6 -2.6 / -36.4 Corpus Uteri (women) -4.0 +0.2 -2.4 / -27.7 Stomach -1.3 -1.6 -1.5 / -26.0 Hodgkin's Disease +0.2 -2.2 -0.2 / -11.7

*Estimated Annual Percent Change

**Percent change for interval 1973-1991 derived using average rates for 1973- 1974 and 1990-1991.

16. Which cancers show the highest mortality rates (based on all ages combined) for the period 1987-1991?

(Rates are per 100,000 of the entire U.S. population and are age-adjusted to the 1970 U.S. population. Unless otherwise specified, rates are given for all races, both sexes.)

                                  Age <65           Age 65+          All Ages
     All Sites                     74.9             1,066.3           172.8

     SITE
     Lung and Bronchus             22.9               290.0            49.3
     Breast (women)                16.6               125.8            27.3
     Prostate (men)                 2.9               232.3            25.6
     Colon and Rectum               6.4               135.3            19.1
     Ovary (women)                 10.0                58.6            14.8
     Pancreas                       3.1                57.2             8.4

17. Which cancers show the greatest increases and decreases in mortality rates (based on all ages combined) over the interval 1973-1991?

EAPC* EAPC* / %Change** Age <65 Age 65+ All Ages All Sites -0.3 +0.9 +0.4 / +6.9 INCREASES BY SITE Lung and Bronchus +0.9 +3.0 +2.1 / +47.7 Melanoma +0.8 +3.0 +1.7 / +35.2 Non-Hodgkin's Lymphoma +0.7 +2.8 +1.9 / +33.2 Multiple Myeloma +0.5 +1.9 +1.5 / +31.1 Kidney and Renal Pelvis +0.3 +1.5 +0.9 / +16.9 Brain and Nervous System -0.5 +2.8 +0.7 / +15.8 Esophagus +0.2 +1.3 +0.8 / +15.6

DECREASES BY SITE Testis (men) -6.4 -5.8 -6.3 / -66.8 Hodgkin's Disease -4.7 -4.3 -4.5 / -56.5 Cervix Uteri (women) -2.9 -3.6 -3.1 / -41.9 Stomach -1.9 -2.5 -2.3 / -32.1 Corpus Uteri (women) -3.0 -0.9 -1.7 / -24.6 Thyroid Gland -1.8 -1.8 -1.8 / -23.4 Urinary Bladder -2.1 -1.6 -1.7 / -22.5

*Estimated Annual Percent Change

**Percent change for interval 1973-1991 derived using the average rates for 1973-1974 and 1990-1991.

18. What are the lifetime probabilities of developing the most common cancers in men and women? (based on 1989-1991 incidence rates)

     Men                                      Women

     Si                 Probability (%)       Site             Probability (%)

     All races

     All sites                   44.84        All sites                39.26
     Prostate                    15.44        Breast                   12.30
     Lung and Bronchus            8.49        Colon and Rectum          5.92
     Colon and Rectum             6.14        Lung and Bronchus         5.17
     Bladder (includes in situ)   3.29        Corpus Uteri and
                                                 Uterus,NOS*            2.64
     Non-Hodgkin's Lymphoma       1.82        Ovary                     1.79

Whites All sites 45.54 All sites 40.25 Prostate 15.57 Breast 12.86 Lung and Bronchus 8.61 Colon and Rectum 5.99 Colon and Rectum 6.28 Lung and Bronchus 5.34 Bladder (includes in situ) 3.64 Corpus Uteri and Uterus, NOS* 2.79 Non-Hodgkin's Lymphoma 1.93 Ovary 1.90

Blacks All sites 37.47 All sites 32.01 Prostate 13.11 Breast 8.80 Lung and Bronchus 8.69 Colon and Rectum 5.21 Colon and Rectum 4.38 Lung and Bronchus 4.81 Oral Cavity and Pharynx 1.53 Pancreas 1.40 Stomach 1.43 Cervix Uteri 1.29

*not otherwise specified

19. What are the probabilities of dying of the most common causes of cancer death in men and women? (based on 1989-1991 mortality rates)

     Men                                      Women

     Site             Probability (%)        Site             Probability (%)

     All races

     All sites               23.35            All sites               20.39
     Lung and Bronchus        7.09            Lung and Bronchus        4.09
     Prostate                 3.41            Breast                   3.59
     Colon and Rectum         2.60            Colon and Rectum         2.65
     Pancreas                 1.08            Pancreas                 1.18
     Stomach                  0.86            Ovary                    1.07

Whites All sites 23.59 All sites 20.81 Lung and Bronchus 7.22 Lung and Bronchus 4.22 Prostate 3.36 Breast 3.73 Colon and Rectum 2.68 Colon and Rectum 2.68 Pancreas 1.09 Pancreas 1.17 Non-Hodgkin's Lymphoma 0.92 Ovary 1.15

Blacks All sites 22.98 All sites 19.01 Lung and Bronchus 7.17 Lung and Bronchus 3.82 Prostate 4.17 Breast 3.26 Colon and Rectum 2.04 Colon and Rectum 2.63 Stomach 1.09 Pancreas 1.28 Esophagus 0.97 Stomach 0.66

Lifetime probabilities are calculated by assuming current age-specific incidence and mortality rates will hold in the future. The probability estimates are therefore very sensitive to current rates. They do not take into account future changes in rates which are likely to occur. In evaluating cancer risk for a cancer-free individual at a given age, age-specific "interval probabilities" are more relevant than lifetime probabilities. Interval probabilities for specific cancers and for all cancers combined are included in the CSR. For example, a 50-year-old cancer-free black woman has a 6.4 percent chance of developing breast cancer before age 80.

For some cancers, age-specific incidence rates are higher for blacks than whites, while lifetime probabilities are higher for whites than blacks. This apparent contradiction is explained by the fact that blacks have higher mortality rates from other causes, with the result that fewer blacks survive to the older ages at which cancer rates rise rapidly.

20. Which states had the highest and lowest cancer mortality rates for all cancer sites combined for the period 1987-1991?

(Rankings range from highest, 1, to lowest, 51.)

(Rates are per 100,000 of the entire U.S. population and are age-adjusted for both sexes, all races.)

                                            Rate            Rank
          Total U.S.                       172.8             --

          STATE
Highest District of Columbia 227.2 1
          Delaware                         195.7              2
          Louisiana                        192.6              3
          Maryland                         192.2              4
          Kentucky                         190.5              5

Lowest Idaho 148.4 47
          Colorado                         147.7             48
          New Mexico                       146.0             49
          Hawaii                           137.1             50
          Utah                             125.4             51

21. Which cancer sites show the highest and lowest five-year relative survival rates (based on all ages combined) for patients diagnosed during the period 1983-1990?

                                       % Survival

Age <65 Age 65+ All Ages All Sites 57.5 50.3 53.9 SITE

Highest Thyroid Gland 97.0 80.0 94.6
        Testis (men)             93.4                80.2               93.3
        Melanoma                 86.2                82.4               85.1
        Corpus Uteri (women)     88.0                78.1               83.9
        Breast (women)           79.2                82.2               80.4
        Urinary Bladder          85.9                75.4               79.8
        Hodgkin's Disease        83.3                40.1               78.9

Chronic Myeloid 32.7 12.4 23.7 Leukemia Stomach 20.3 17.3 18.5 Lung and Bronchus 15.5 11.3 13.4 Acute Myeloid 17.3 1.9 10.4 Leukemia Esophagus 10.3 8.2 9.2 Liver 8.8 3.4 6.0 Lowest Pancreas 4.9 2.3 3.2

22. Are there differences in cancer incidence, mortality, and survival between sexes?

For all cancers combined, the cancer incidence rate (1987-1991) is higher in men than women: 465.7 cases per 100,000 men and 342.5 cases per 100,000 women. Men have higher incidence rates for nearly every cancer common to both sexes, except breast cancer where the rate in women is 120 times higher. Large differences in incidence between the sexes are seen in cancer of the lung and bronchus (men twice as high) and cancer of the urinary bladder (men 4 times higher).

For all cancers combined, the U.S. cancer mortality rate (1987-1991) is higher in men than women: 220.2 deaths per 100,000 men and 141.1 deaths per 100,000 women. Men have higher mortality rates for nearly every cancer common to both sexes. Large differences in mortality between the sexes are seen in cancer of the lung and bronchus (men 2.5 times higher), cancer of the esophagus (men 4 times higher), cancer of the oral cavity (men nearly 3 times higher), and cancer of the urinary bladder (men 3 times higher).

The five-year relative survival rate (for cancers diagnosed between 1983-1990) for all cancers combined is 49.0 percent for men and 58.6 percent for women.

23. Are there differences in cancer incidence, mortality, and survival between blacks and whites?

While the age-adjusted incidence rate for all cancers combined increased similarly for whites and blacks between 1973 and 1991, the overall incidence rates (1987-1991) are different: 422.1 cases per 100,000 blacks and 392.0 cases per 100,000 whites. These rates indicate that blacks bear a disproportionate burden of cancer.

Mortality rates for all cancers and all ages combined during the interval 1973-1991 show an increase of 16.4 percent for blacks, compared with an increase of 6.2 percent for whites. Mortality rates (1987-1991) are 226.2 deaths per 100,000 blacks and 169.0 deaths per 100,000 whites.

For the period 1983-1990, whites had more than a 10 percentage point advantage in five-year survival for cancers of the breast, cervix uteri, colon, corpus uteri, larynx, oral cavity, prostate, rectum, urinary bladder, and melanoma, as well as all cancer sites combined. The five-year relative survival rates (for cancers diagnosed between 1983-1990) for all cancers combined are 55.5 percent for whites and 40.4 percent for blacks.

24. Does the CSR tell us anything about geographic patterns of cancer?

Yes, cancer mortality rates by state for all cancers combined and for specific cancers are presented in the 1994 CSR.

NCI has been publishing a series of cancer atlases since 1975, containing color maps of U.S. mortality data that visually represent cancer patterns. The most recent volumes are the "Atlas of U.S. Cancer Mortality Among Whites," 1950-1980, published in 1987, and the "Atlas of U.S. Cancer Mortality Among Nonwhites, 1950-1980," published in 1991.

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